Wahi a Abdullah

ʻO ka hoʻokele waiwai o Vietnam ka 44th-nui loa ma ka honua a mai ka waena o ka makahiki 1980 ua hana ʻo Vietnam i ka hoʻololi nui ʻana mai kahi ʻoihana hoʻokele waiwai nui me ke kākoʻo mai kahi hoʻokele waiwai ma ka mākeke.

ʻAʻole ia he mea kupanaha, ʻo ia kekahi o ka wikiwiki o ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻoihana honua, me ka piʻi ʻana o ka GDP makahiki ma kahi o 5.1%, e hoʻolilo i kāna ʻoihana i ka 20th-nui loa ma ka honua e 2050.

Ma hope o ka ʻōlelo ʻana, ʻo ka ʻōlelo hoʻomākeʻaka i ka honua ʻo ia ʻo Vietnam e mākaukau e lilo i hoʻokahi o nā hale hana nui loa me ka hiki ke lawe iā Kina me kāna mau holomua waiwai nui.

ʻO ka mea nui, ke piʻi aʻe nei ʻo Vietnam ma ke ʻano he hale hana hana ma ka ʻāina, ka mea nui no nā ʻāpana e like me nā lole lole a me nā kāmaʻa a me nā ʻāpana uila.

Ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, mai ka makahiki 80 e pāʻani ana ʻo Kina i ka hana o kahi kikowaena hana honua me kāna mau mea waiwai nui, manpower a me nā mana ʻoihana.Ua hāʻawi nui ʻia ka hoʻomohala ʻana i nā ʻoihana kahi i loaʻa ai ka hana kiʻekiʻe loa o ka hana ʻana i nā mīkini a me nā ʻoihana metallurgical.

Me nā pilina ma waena o Wakinekona a me Beijing i ka hāʻule manuahi, ʻo ka wā e hiki mai ana o nā kaulahao hoʻolako honua he tentative.ʻOiai ke hoʻomau nei nā memo White House i ʻike ʻole ʻia i nā nīnau e pili ana i ke alakaʻi ʻana i ke kulekele kālepa US, e mau ana nā kumukūʻai kaua kālepa.

I kēia manawa, ʻo ka hāʻule ʻana mai ke kānāwai palekana aupuni i manaʻo ʻia e Beijing, e hoʻoweliweli ana e kaohi i ka mana kūʻokoʻa o Hong Kong, e hoʻoweliweli hou aku i ka ʻaelike kalepa mua ma waena o nā mana nui ʻelua.ʻAʻole e haʻi i ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai hana ʻo ia hoʻi e ʻimi ʻo Kina i kahi ʻoihana kiʻekiʻe ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka hana.

ʻO kēia koʻikoʻi, i hui pū ʻia me ka heihei e hoʻopaʻa i nā lako olakino a hoʻomohala i kahi kano COVID-19, ke hoʻonāukiuki nei i ka loiloi hou ʻana o nā kaulahao lako i ka manawa kūpono e ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi ma mua o nā mea āpau.

I ka manawa like, ʻo ka lawelawe ʻana o COVID-19 e Kina ua hoʻāla i nā nīnau he nui i waena o nā mana komohana.ʻOiai, ʻo Vietnam kekahi o nā ʻāina mua e hōʻoluʻolu i nā kaʻina hele a wehe hou i kona kaiāulu ma mua o ʻApelila 2020, kahi e hoʻomaka wale ai ka hapa nui o nā ʻāina i ka paʻakikī a me ka hoʻolaha ʻana o COVID-19.

Pīhoihoi ka honua i ka kūleʻa o Vietnam i kēia maʻi maʻi COVID-19.

ʻO ka manaʻo o Vietnam ma ke ʻano he kikowaena hana

E kūʻē i kēia ʻano hiʻohiʻona honua, ʻo ka piʻi ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai o ʻAsia - ʻo Vietnam - ke manaʻo nei e lilo i hale mana hana hou.

Ua lilo ʻo Vietnam i mea hoʻokūkū ikaika e hopu i kahi mahele nui i ka honua post-COVID-19.

Wahi a ka Kearney US Reshoring Index, ka mea e hoʻohālikelike ana i nā huahana hana US i kāna mau hana hoʻopuka mai 14 mau ʻāina ʻo ʻAsia, ua piʻi i kahi moʻolelo kiʻekiʻe ma 2019, mahalo i ka emi ʻana o 17% o nā lawe mai Kina.

Ua ʻike pū ka Chamber of Commerce ʻAmelika ma Kina Hema he 64% o nā hui US ma ka hema o ka ʻāina e noʻonoʻo nei e neʻe i ka hana ma kahi ʻē aʻe, e like me ka hōʻike Medium.

Ua ulu ka hoʻokele waiwai Vietnam e 8% i ka makahiki 2019, i kōkua ʻia e ka piʻi ʻana o nā mea kūʻai aku.Ua manaʻo ʻia e ulu ʻia e 1.5% i kēia makahiki.

ʻO ka wānana o ka World Bank i kahi kūlana hihia COVID-19 maikaʻi loa e hāʻule ka GDP o Vietnam i 1.5% i kēia makahiki, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi ma mua o ka hapa nui o kāna mau hoalauna o Asia Hema.

Ma waho aʻe, me ka hui pū ʻana o ka hana paʻakikī, hōʻailona ʻāina, a me ka hoʻokumu ʻana i nā kūlana hoʻopukapuka maikaʻi, ua hoʻokipa ʻo Vietnam i nā ʻoihana ʻē aʻe / hoʻopukapuka kālā, e hāʻawi ana i nā mea hana i ke komo ʻana i ka ʻāina kūʻai kūʻai kūʻokoʻa ʻo ASEAN a me nā kuʻikahi kālepa makemake me nā ʻāina ma Asia a me ka European Union, a me ka USA.

ʻAʻole e haʻi ʻia, i kēia mau manawa ua hoʻoikaika ka ʻāina i ka hana lāʻau lapaʻau a hāʻawi i nā hāʻawi pili i nā ʻāina i hoʻopilikia ʻia COVID-19, a me USA, Russia, Sepania, Italia, Farani, Kelemānia, a me UK.

ʻO kekahi hoʻomohala hou koʻikoʻi ʻo ia ka nui o nā ʻoihana ʻoihana US e neʻe aku mai Kina aku i Vietnam.A ua pōmaikaʻi ka ʻāpana o Vietnam o nā lole ʻaʻahu US ma muli o ka emi ʻana o ka ʻāpana o Kina i ka mākeke - ua ʻoi aku ka ʻāina ma mua o Kina a ua koho ʻia ka mea hoʻolako lole kiʻekiʻe loa i ka US i Malaki a me ʻApelila o kēia makahiki.

Hōʻike ka ʻikepili o ke kālepa kālepa US o 2019 i kēia hiʻohiʻona, ua piʻi ka nui o nā hoʻoiho ʻana o Vietnam i USA e 35%, a i ʻole $ 17.5 biliona.

No nā makahiki he ʻelua i hala iho nei, ua loli nui ka ʻāina e hoʻokō i nā ʻano ʻoihana.Ke neʻe nei ʻo Vietnam mai kāna ʻoihana mahiʻai nui e hoʻomohala i kahi hoʻokele waiwai e pili ana i ka mākeke a me ka ʻoihana.

ʻO ka bottleneck e lanakila

Akā he nui nā bottlenecks e mālama ʻia inā makemake ka ʻāina e poʻohiwi me Kina.

No ka laʻana, ʻo ke ʻano o Vietnam o ka ʻoihana hana hana ma ke ʻano he mea hoʻoweliweli - inā ʻaʻole e neʻe ka ʻāina i ke kaulahao waiwai, hāʻawi pū kekahi mau ʻāina ʻē aʻe o ka ʻāina e like me Bangladesh, Thailand a i ʻole Cambodia i ka hana haʻahaʻa.

Eia kekahi, me ka hoʻoikaika nui ʻana o ke aupuni e lawe i nā hoʻopukapuka hou aʻe i ka hana ʻenehana hi-tech a me nā ʻoihana e hoʻopaʻa hou aku me ke kaulahao lako honua, ʻo kahi hui multinational liʻiliʻi (MNCs) i kaupalena ʻia nā hana noiʻi a me ka hoʻomohala ʻana (R&D) ma Vietnam.

Ua hōʻike pū ʻia ka maʻi maʻi COVID-19 e hilinaʻi nui nei ʻo Vietnam i ka lawe ʻana mai i nā lako maka a ke pāʻani wale nei i ka hana o ka hana ʻana a me ka hōʻuluʻulu ʻana i nā huahana no nā mea hoʻoiho.Me ka loaʻa ʻole o kahi ʻoihana kākoʻo backward linking supporting, he moeʻuhane makemake ia e hoʻokō i kēia nui o ka hana e like me Kina.

Ma waho aʻe o kēia mau mea, ʻo nā mea ʻē aʻe e pili ana i ka nui o ka wai hana, ka hiki ʻana o nā limahana akamai, ka hiki ke hoʻokō i ka hoʻoheheʻe koke ʻana i ka noi hana, a me nā mea hou aku.

ʻO kekahi kahua koʻikoʻi ʻo Vietnam ka micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) - nona ka 93.7% o ka nui o ka ʻoihana - ua kaupalena ʻia i nā mākeke liʻiliʻi loa a ʻaʻole hiki ke hoʻonui i kā lākou hana i kahi lehulehu ākea.Ke hoʻolilo nei i kahi kikoʻī koʻikoʻi i nā manawa pilikia, e like me ka maʻi maʻi COVID-19.

No laila, he mea koʻikoʻi i nā ʻoihana ke hana i hope a noʻonoʻo hou i kā lākou hoʻolālā hoʻonohonoho hou ʻana - no ka mea he mau mile ka nui o ka ʻāina e hoʻokō ai i ka wikiwiki o Kina, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka hele ʻana no ka 'China-plus-one' hoʻolālā ma kahi?